Exam PContinuousFree to read

Normal distribution

A symmetric bell-shaped variable; the limiting distribution of standardised sums by the Central Limit Theorem.

Parameters and support

μ\mu
mean (and median and mode) - μ∈R\mu \in \mathbb{R}
σ\sigma
standard deviation - σ>0\sigma > 0
Support
−∞<x<∞-\infty < x < \infty

The formulas

f(x)
f(x)=1σ2πexp⁡ ⁣(−(x−μ)22σ2)f(x) = \dfrac{1}{\sigma\sqrt{2\pi}}\exp\!\left(-\dfrac{(x-\mu)^{2}}{2\sigma^{2}}\right)
F(x)
F(x)=Φ ⁣(x−μσ)F(x) = \Phi\!\left(\dfrac{x-\mu}{\sigma}\right)

No elementary antiderivative - Φ is read from the standard normal table.

Mean
E[X]=μE[X] = \mu
Variance
Var⁡(X)=σ2\operatorname{Var}(X) = \sigma^{2}
MGF
M(t)=exp⁡ ⁣(μt+σ2t22)M(t) = \exp\!\left(\mu t + \dfrac{\sigma^{2}t^{2}}{2}\right)
Memory hook. Standardise first, always: z = (x − μ)/σ. Any linear combination of independent normals is normal, with variances (never standard deviations) adding.

Where the moments come from

  1. Standardise: Z=(X−μ)/σZ = (X-\mu)/\sigma has density 12πe−z2/2\frac{1}{\sqrt{2\pi}}e^{-z^2/2}.
  2. E[Z]=0E[Z] = 0 by symmetry (the integrand is odd), so E[X]=μE[X] = \mu.
  3. E[Z2]=1E[Z^2] = 1 by integrating by parts, so Var⁡(X)=σ2\operatorname{Var}(X) = \sigma^2.
  4. Completing the square in the MGF integral gives M(t)=eμt+σ2t2/2M(t) = e^{\mu t + \sigma^2 t^2/2}.
  5. Because the MGF is exponential in tt, products of normal MGFs are normal MGFs - that is why sums of independent normals stay normal.

Worked example

Aggregate losses are normal with mean 1,000 and standard deviation 200. Find the probability that losses exceed 1,300.

  1. Standardise: z=1300−1000200=1.5z = \dfrac{1300 - 1000}{200} = 1.5.
  2. P(X>1300)=P(Z>1.5)=1−Φ(1.5)P(X > 1300) = P(Z > 1.5) = 1 - \Phi(1.5).
  3. From the table Φ(1.5)=0.9332\Phi(1.5) = 0.9332.
  4. P(X>1300)=1−0.9332=0.0668P(X > 1300) = 1 - 0.9332 = 0.0668.

Answer: 0.0668

The mean, variance, CDF and moment generating function above are re-derived numerically from this distribution’s own density on every test run - summed over the support for a discrete distribution, integrated by quadrature for a continuous one - and compared with the closed forms printed here. A typo on this page fails that test run.

Traps

  • Adding standard deviations instead of variances when combining independent normals.
  • Forgetting the ±0.5 continuity correction when approximating a DISCRETE count.
  • Reading σ² off a question that quoted σ, or the reverse.

Related

Drill this: the Exam P question bank has original questions on this distribution, and the recall trainer builds its prompts from exactly the formulas above.