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Geometrically increasing annuities

Payments growing by a fixed PERCENTAGE each period - inflation-linked cash flows. One substitution turns it back into a level annuity.

The formulas

Present value
PV=1−(1+g1+i)ni−gPV = \dfrac{1 - \left(\dfrac{1+g}{1+i}\right)^{n}}{i - g}

first payment 1 at time 1, growing at rate g

The trick rate
1+j=1+i1+g,PV=an‾∣j1+g1 + j = \dfrac{1+i}{1+g}, \qquad PV = \dfrac{a_{\overline{n}|j}}{1+g}
When i = g
PV=n v=n1+iPV = n\,v = \dfrac{n}{1+i}
Growing perpetuity
PV=1i−g,g<iPV = \dfrac{1}{i-g}, \quad g < i

Where it comes from

  1. The kkth payment is (1+g)k−1(1+g)^{k-1} at time kk, with present value (1+g)k−1vk(1+g)^{k-1}v^k.
  2. The series is geometric with ratio 1+g1+i\frac{1+g}{1+i}, so it sums to 1−(1+g1+i)ni−g\frac{1 - \left(\frac{1+g}{1+i}\right)^n}{i-g}.
  3. Defining jj by 1+j=1+i1+g1+j = \frac{1+i}{1+g} makes the same sum 11+gan‾∣j\frac{1}{1+g}a_{\overline{n}|j} - a level annuity at the 'real' rate jj.

Worked example

A pension pays 30,000 at the end of the first year, increasing by 3% a year, for 20 years. At 7% effective, find the present value.

  1. Use the geometric annuity form with g=0.03g = 0.03, i=0.07i = 0.07, n=20n = 20.
  2. (1.031.07)20=0.466733\left(\dfrac{1.03}{1.07}\right)^{20} = 0.466733.
  3. PVunit=1−0.4667330.07−0.03=13.331663PV_{\text{unit}} = \dfrac{1 - 0.466733}{0.07-0.03} = 13.331663.
  4. PV=30,000×13.331663=399,949.90PV = 30{,}000 \times 13.331663 = 399{,}949.90.

Answer: 399,949.90

This answer is recomputed from the site’s own interest-theory and probability functions every time the test suite runs, so the page and the mathematics cannot drift apart.

Memory hooks

  • The denominator is i − g, not i. If the payments grow, the effective discount is only the EXCESS of i over g.
  • When i = g every term is v, so the answer is just n·v - no division by zero, a limit.

Traps

  • Dividing by i − g when the growth starts at the FIRST payment rather than the second - check whether payment 1 is 1 or (1+g).
  • Using this for arithmetic increases.

Related

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